India Retail Report

Jun, 2016   |   66  Pages   |   BMI Retail   |   Format : PDF
BMI View: Household spending has remained constrained over the past two years even as the rest of theeconomy posts strong headline growth rates. We expect spending will gradually improve over our forecast period as consumers become confident. That being said, Indian households are highly price-conscious, as average income remains low. Key consumer groups will be the young, increasingly urbanised population who will emerge as the main drivers of retail spending.However, most Indians are still rural dwellers, and the agriculture sector is a major employer.

As agricultural incomes are typically low, and workers in the sector are affected by unstable weather patterns as well as under employment, this limits the participation a large majority of the population can have in themodern retail sector. Indeed, while incomes are rising, they will remain small, with 14% of Indian households forecast to have a net income of USD10,000 or over by 2020. This means that retail spending will continue to be skewed in favour of essential purchases and non-organised retail, while rural dwellers,and retailers seeking to access this market, are hampered by poor transport infrastructure, which raises costsdramatically.While essentials, notably food and drink, transport and housing and utilities, will still account for the lion'sshare of retail spending in India over our forecast period, non-essential spending such as on restaurants andhotels is growing rapidly from a low base, and spending o
BMI Industry View ....... 7
SWOT .... 9
Industry Forecast ...... 12
Headline Retail Forecast .. 12
Table: Total Household Spending (India 2013-2020) . . 14
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (India 2013-2020) . . . . . 15
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % of GDP (India 2013-2020)16
Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (India 2013-2020). . 17
Retail Sector Forecast ...... 20
Food, Drink And Tobacco 21
Table: Food, Drink & Tobacco Spending (India 2013-2020)22
Clothing And Footwear ... 23
Table: Clothing & Footwear Spending (India 2013-2020). . . 23
Household Goods ... 24
Table: Household Goods Spending (India 2013-2020) . 24
Personal Care ....... 25
Table: Personal Care Spending (India 2013-2020) . . . . 26
Household Numbers and Income Forecast .... 27
Table: Household Income Data (India 2013-2020) . . . . 29
Table: Labour Market Data (India 2013-2020) . . 31
Demographic Forecast ..... 32
Table: Total Population (India 2013-2020) 34
Table: Population: Babies (India 2013-2020) . . . . 35
Table: Population: Young Children (India 2013-2020) 35
Table: Population: Children (India 2013-2020) . . 36
Table: Population: Young Teens and Older Children (India 2013-2020) 36
Table: Population: Young People (India 2013-2020) . . 37
Table: Population: Older Teenagers (India 2013-2020). . . . . 37
Table: Population: 21yrs + (India 2013-2020) . . . 38
Table: Population: Young Adults (India 2013-2020) . . . 38
Table: Population: Middle Aged (India 2013-2020) . . . 39
Table: Population: Urban (India 2013-2020) . . . . 39
Industry Risk/Reward Index ..... 40
Asia Pacific Risk/Reward Index .. 40
Table: Asia Pacific Retail Risk/Reward Index, Q316 . . . 40
India Industry Risk/Reward Index ....... 41
Rewards ....... 41
Risks .... 42
Market Overview ....... 44
Competitive Landscape .... 49
Clothing And Footwear ... 49
Table: Selected Clothing And Footwear Retailers 49
Household Goods. Homeware And Home Improvement . 50
Table: Selected Household Goods, Homeware And Home Improvement Retailers . . 50
Electronics ... 50
Table: Selected Electronics Retailers . 50
Department Stores .. 51
Table: Selected Department Store Retailers 51
E-Commerce And Online Marketplaces ...... 52
Table: Selected E-Commerce And Online Marketplace Retailers . . 52
Drugstores And Pharmacies ..... 52
Table: Selected Drugstore And Pharmacy Retailers . . . 52
Glossary ..... 53
Methodology ...... 60
Industry Forecast Methodology 60
Sources 63
Risk/Reward Index Methodology ....... 63
Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators 64
Table: Weighting Of Indicators . 66

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